Awards season isn't one event. It's a three-month gauntlet of guild votes, festival screenings, nomination announcements, and ceremony nights. Each one moves the market. Miss the DGA announcement and you miss the single biggest odds shift of the season.
The Awards Calendar tracks every date that matters so you don't have to remember them yourself.
What the Awards Calendar Does
It's a visual timeline of every significant event between now and Oscar night on March 15, 2026. Guild ceremonies, nomination deadlines, shortlist announcements, and key industry events. All in one calendar view.
Each event is tagged with how it typically affects prediction markets. DGA gets the highest impact flag because it causes 20-50% probability shifts. A documentary shortlist gets a lower flag because it only affects one category. You can plan your market-watching schedule around the events that matter most.
Key Features
Full Precursor Timeline
The calendar covers the major precursor awards that drive Oscar predictions:
| Event | Typical Date Range | Market Impact |
|---|---|---|
| DGA Awards | Early February | Highest. 88% Best Director correlation. |
| PGA Awards | Early-Mid February | High. 80% Best Picture correlation since 2009. |
| SAG Awards | Mid February | High for acting. 85-95% by category. |
| BAFTA Awards | Mid February | Moderate. British voter bias reduces correlation. |
| Critics Choice Awards | January | Moderate. 67% Best Picture correlation. |
| Oscar Nominations | Late January | High. Sets the final field. |
| Oscar Ceremony | March 15, 2026 | The final answer. |
These aren't just ceremony dates. They include nomination announcement dates, voting windows, and shortlist releases so you know when to pay attention even before winners are revealed.
Event Impact Indicators
Not all events matter equally. The calendar marks each event with its historical impact on prediction markets. This helps you prioritize.
A DGA ceremony is a "clear your evening" event. The results will move Best Director odds by 20-50 points and ripple into Best Picture. A Documentary shortlist is interesting but unlikely to affect the major races. The calendar makes this distinction visible.
Countdown to Oscar Night
The calendar includes a countdown to the 98th Academy Awards on March 15, 2026. As the date approaches, the events become denser and more impactful. February is the busiest month of awards season, with DGA, PGA, SAG, and BAFTA all announcing within a two-week window.
How to Use It
Step 1: Identify the Next Major Event
Open the calendar and find the nearest high-impact event. If it's late January, that might be Oscar Nominations. If it's early February, it's DGA. Plan to check market odds before and after each major event.
Step 2: Set Your Watch Schedule
You don't need to monitor Oscar markets every day. But you should be watching on event days and the 24-48 hours after. That's when the biggest repricing happens. The calendar tells you exactly which days to pay attention.
Step 3: Map Events to Categories
Different events affect different categories. DGA matters for Best Director. PGA for Best Picture. SAG for acting categories. BAFTA for international crossover picks. Use the calendar alongside the Nominees Browser to watch the right categories on the right days.
Real Example
You're tracking Best Actor 2026. The race is tight between Chalamet and DiCaprio. The calendar shows three dates that matter:
January 22, 2026 - Oscar Nominations: Confirms the final five nominees. If either Chalamet or DiCaprio is snubbed (unlikely but possible), the race is over before it starts.
Mid-February 2026 - SAG Awards: SAG Best Actor matches the Oscar 6 out of the last 7 times. Whatever happens here is the strongest signal you'll get.
March 15, 2026 - Oscar Ceremony: Final result.
That's it. Three dates. Everything between them is noise for this specific category. The calendar helps you focus on those three moments and ignore the rest.
Guest vs. Pro Access
Without an account, you can't access the Awards Calendar.
With a free account, you get the full calendar with all events, impact indicators, and countdown.
Related Tools
- Precursors Tracker: After a guild announces, check the Precursors Tracker to see how this year's result compares to the historical pattern.
- Whale Activity Alerts: Market-moving trades cluster around calendar events. Watch the alerts dashboard during and after major announcements.
Key Takeaways
- Awards season runs three months, but only a handful of dates matter for each category
- DGA (Best Director, 88%) and PGA (Best Picture, 80%) cause the largest market movements
- February is the densest month, with four major guild ceremonies in two weeks
- The calendar helps you plan when to watch the market instead of monitoring it every day
- Free account required for access