BlogBlogData-driven insights, guild award breakdowns, and prediction strategies for the Academy Awards.
The OpenClaw skill now surfaces Critics Choice and Golden Globes data across all endpoints. Golden Globes dual-winner categories are fully supported.
Safdie and DP Darius Khondji tracked a rare lens at Panavision back to a 1965 Italian film. He listened to Peter Gabriel's 'I Have the Touch' over 1,000 times while writing the script.
Zhao and co-writer Maggie O'Farrell discovered they share the same favorite filmmaker. Terrence Malick watched the film and emailed: 'My heart was in my throat the whole time.'
The Thing. Near Dark. Lovers Rock. Metallica's 'One.' And Puss in Boots: The Last Wish. These are the films Coogler actually named.
Anderson kept a 35mm print of The French Connection on set as a daily visual reference. Here are all the films he and his collaborators said were in their heads while making it.
We released a free OpenClaw skill that gives AI agents access to live Oscar prediction market data. Real odds, whale trades, and risk analysis instead of generic guesses.
Anderson took the DGA Saturday night and spent his speech talking about Adam Somner, his late first AD. The Oscar race looks over.
Learn how WaitingForMacGuffin tracks real-money prediction market odds to forecast Academy Award winners.
Never placed a bet on the Oscars before? This guide explains prediction market odds in plain English—what the numbers mean and how to use them.
Two generations of leading men. Two very different films. SAG will likely decide who wins.
TIFF winner, Chloe Zhao directing, critical acclaim. At 64% odds, Buckley is the clear frontrunner.
Pop stars rarely win acting Oscars. At 60% odds, Grande is trying to change that with Wicked.
TIFF People's Choice winners often become Best Picture contenders. Here's Hamnet's path to an upset.
97% on Rotten Tomatoes. Only one horror film has ever won Best Picture. Here's what Sinners is up against.
77 years of data reveals clear patterns. DGA is 88% accurate, PGA 80% since 2009. Here's what the numbers actually tell us.
Forget pundit opinions. Here's what people with money on the line actually think will win at the 98th Academy Awards.
One Battle After Another leads at 60-70%, but the guilds haven't voted yet. Here's what each contender needs to win.
11 nominations, 0 wins. Paul Thomas Anderson is the heavy favorite, but 'overdue' narratives don't always pay off.
88% accuracy over 77 years. What happens on February 7 at the DGA Awards will likely determine the Oscar winner.
Guild awards have been predicting Oscar winners for decades. After looking at the numbers, some awards matter far more than others.
Starting with the 98th Oscars, voters must watch every nominee before voting. Here's what the mandatory viewing rule means for prediction markets and why guild correlations could weaken.
The Academy doubled in size since 2016. From 5,800 members to 11,104, heavily international and more diverse. Here's how that membership shift changes Oscar outcomes and prediction market odds.
Pick winners across all 19 Oscar categories and see what your predictions would pay out at current market odds.
When someone places a trade big enough to move the odds, it shows up here. Real-time whale alerts across all Oscar categories.
See every DGA, PGA, SAG, and BAFTA winner mapped against every Oscar winner. Decades of data in one table.
Calculate slippage, fill prices, and estimated payouts before placing a trade on Oscar prediction markets.
Live odds for all Oscar nominees across 19 categories, updated every 5 minutes. Historical price charts included.
Track DGA, PGA, SAG, BAFTA, and every key awards season event. Know which dates move the market most.
Six tools, 19 categories, live odds, and whale alerts. Your starting point for Oscar prediction market intelligence.