CalendarCalendarTrack every major precursor award on the road to Oscar night. Know when to watch, what each event predicts, and how to act when winners are announced.
Next Event
Saturday, February 28, 2026
days away
Sat, Feb 28, 2026 · 6:00 PM ET
Best Picture correlation since 1990 (25/35 years)
Producers Guild Awards - uses same preferential ballot as Oscar
What to do
Strong signal for Best Picture - expect 15-30% odds shift same day
Sun, Mar 1, 2026 · 8:00 PM ET
Actor/Actress correlation since 1995 (77% Actor, 68% Actress)
Screen Actors Guild Awards - strongest signal for acting categories
What to do
Strongest signal for acting categories, especially supporting roles
Sun, Mar 15, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET
The 98th Academy Awards ceremony hosted by Conan O'Brien
What to do
The main event! Markets close and winners are revealed
Feb 28 - Mar 1
PGA Saturday, SAG Sunday. Watch for alignment between Producers and Actors guilds.
Feb 26 - Mar 5
Academy final voting period. Odds stabilize as race becomes clear.
Learn which guild awards actually predict Oscar winners and why the data matters more than pundit opinions.
View Guild Strategy Guide