Oscar odds change constantly. A guild announcement drops on a Tuesday evening, and by Wednesday morning Best Director is a different race. A Variety exclusive lands at 3 PM and Best Picture moves 5 points before dinner.
The Nominees Browser shows you where every nominee stands right now. Live odds. Every category. Updated every 5 minutes.
What the Nominees Browser Does
It's a single-page view of all Oscar nominees across all 19 categories with their current prediction market odds from Kalshi. Pick a category and you see every nominee, their current price, and their implied probability of winning.
The browser also includes historical price charts so you can see how a nominee's odds have moved over time. Was Buckley always the Best Actress frontrunner, or did she surge after TIFF? Was One Battle After Another always at 65% for Best Picture, or did it climb from 40%? The chart answers that in seconds.
Key Features
Live Market Odds
Odds refresh every 5 minutes through server-side revalidation. When you load the page, you're seeing prices from the last few minutes, not from yesterday's snapshot. In a fast-moving market, especially during guild announcement weekends, this matters.
Each nominee shows their current odds as a percentage. 72% means the market thinks there's a 72% chance they win. 8% means long shot. The percentages across all nominees in a category add up to roughly 100% (slight variations come from bid-ask spreads).
Historical Price Charts
The chart for each nominee shows how their odds have evolved over the season. Key inflection points become visible: the TIFF bump, the nomination announcement, the guild results, the late-season momentum shift.
This is useful for two things. First, it shows whether the current price reflects a trend (steadily climbing for months) or a spike (jumped 20 points overnight). Trends are more reliable. Spikes sometimes correct.
Second, it helps you spot nominees who are underpriced relative to their trajectory. If someone has climbed from 5% to 15% over three months with no pullbacks, the trend suggests they might keep climbing.
All 19 Categories
The browser covers every Oscar category, from Best Picture down to Best Makeup and Hairstyling. Technical categories often get ignored by the press but not by bettors. Best Visual Effects and Best Film Editing frequently follow Best Picture, making them useful cross-references for the main race.
How to Use It
Step 1: Start With Your Race
If you're tracking Best Picture, start there. Check the current standings and note the frontrunner's margin over the field. A 20-point lead is significant. A 5-point lead means the race is genuinely competitive.
Step 2: Read the Price History
Click into the frontrunner's price chart. Has the lead been stable for weeks, or did it just appear after a guild win? Stable leads built over months tend to hold. Leads that appeared in the last 48 hours sometimes overcorrect.
Step 3: Cross-Reference Categories
Best Picture odds rarely exist in isolation. If a film's director is surging in Best Director, and its lead actor is rising in Best Actor, the Best Picture price usually follows. The Nominees Browser lets you check these connections across categories without opening multiple pages.
Real Example
It's February 8, 2026. Paul Thomas Anderson just won the DGA Award the night before. You open the Nominees Browser.
Best Director: PTA is now at 90%, up from 75% yesterday. The DGA win pushed him into near-lock territory. Chloe Zhao dropped from 15% to 6%.
Best Picture: One Battle After Another climbed from 62% to 71% overnight. The DGA winner's film typically gets a Best Picture boost.
Best Actor: DiCaprio ticked up 3 points to 48%. He's the lead of PTA's film, so the DGA halo effect is real but modest. Chalamet held at 38%.
In five minutes, you've mapped the guild announcement's ripple effects across three categories. That's the kind of quick multi-category scan the browser is built for.
Guest vs. Pro Access
Without an account, you can't access the full Nominees Browser. The public-facing odds on the homepage show a limited selection.
With a free account, you get all 19 categories with live odds and historical price charts.
Related Tools
- Whale Activity Alerts: The browser shows where odds are. The alerts show what moved them. Use both together to understand not just the current price but why it changed.
- Payout Simulator: Found a nominee you like? Switch to the simulator to see what picking them across your full bracket would pay out.
Key Takeaways
- Live odds refresh every 5 minutes, giving you near real-time market data across all 19 categories
- Historical price charts show trends, spikes, and corrections so you can distinguish stable frontrunners from overnight surges
- Cross-referencing categories reveals how guild wins and news events ripple across races
- Technical categories (editing, VFX, sound) often follow Best Picture and can serve as leading indicators
- Free account required for access. The public homepage shows limited data by comparison.