OpenClaw Skill
Real-time odds, whale trades, risk tiers, and precursor analysis — all from a single natural-language interface.
OpenClaw is the open skill platform for AI assistants. Install MacGuffin to give your AI real-time Oscar market intelligence.
19 categories · Live odds · Whale tracking · Precursor analysis
Oscar Brief · Mar 4, 2026
Frontrunners
Best Picture: One Battle After Another at 72c · Best Director: Paul Thomas Anderson at 88c
Whale Activity
5 trades > $1,000 in last 24h · Largest: $8,100 YES on One Battle After Another
Risk Alerts
HIGH · Best Actor: split precursors — Chalamet vs Jordan · MED · Supp. Actress: no clear frontrunner
Capabilities
Live prediction market prices from Kalshi across all 19 Oscar categories, updated via SSE streaming.
Automated alerts for trades over $1,000. See where the smart money is moving in real time.
HIGH / MED / LOW risk tiers for every category based on price volatility and market depth.
Guild wins, critic awards, and historical patterns that predict Oscar outcomes.
Auto-pick strategies — favorites, guild alignment, momentum plays — with live P&L tracking.
Ask questions in plain English. No APIs to learn, no dashboards to navigate.
Use Cases
Every query can be scheduled as a proactive briefing. Set it once, your AI handles the rest.
User: “Every morning, check Oscar markets and flag anything that moved overnight.”
Scans all 19 categories for price swings, whale trades, and frontrunner changes. Delivered before you finish your coffee.
User: “Alert me when there's a whale trade over $5K in any category.”
Monitors $1K+ trades in real time. When institutional money moves, you know about it — with direction, size, and which nominee.
User: “Build a $5K portfolio tracking SAG, DGA, and PGA winners, overweighted on best risk vs. reward.”
Builds a slippage-aware portfolio from guild winners with EV-based position sizing. Ask for daily updates and it tracks P&L as odds shift.
User: “Create a $1,000 portfolio with the best ROI and moderate risk across the big 6 categories.”
Maximizes return-on-investment at moderate risk. Finds the biggest gaps between market price and precursor-implied probability.
User: “Night before the Oscars, give me a final breakdown of every category with confidence tiers.”
Pulls live odds, precursor alignment, whale sentiment, and risk tiers across all 19 categories into one comprehensive briefing.
Add the MacGuffin skill to your AI agent. Pick the method that works for your setup.
clawhub install waitingforamacguffin/openclaw-oscar-skillhttps://github.com/sonderspot/waitingformacguffin-public/blob/main/Skills/waitingformacguffin-skill.mdhttps://raw.githubusercontent.com/sonderspot/waitingformacguffin-public/main/Skills/waitingformacguffin-skill.mdThis skill is in active development. Prices and data are sourced from Kalshi prediction markets and update in real time.
Market data is for informational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
Sample Portfolio
Bet these 5, any single win = 3x+ return
Bet
$1,200
Return
$5,455(4.5×)
#2 in category, tech voters love it
Bet
$1,200
Return
$4,286(3.6×)
Penn vulnerable at 55¢, whale buying Stellan
Bet
$1,100
Return
$4,783(4.3×)
Category chaos, Taylor at 52¢ isn't safe
Bet
$800
Return
$3,077(3.8×)
Whale on Sentimental Value = category hot
Bet
$500
Return
$980(1.9×)
5-way race, true coin flip
Get Started
Add the MacGuffin skill to your OpenClaw environment with a single command.
Open source · MIT License
Questions, feedback, or partnership inquiries — we'd love to hear from you.