Phil Lord
Best Director contender · Project Hail Mary
To win Best Director
No price yetKalshinot listedPolymarketnot listed
To be nominated for Best Director
Number 13 of 33 by Kalshi pricePrice history
Market-implied chance to be nominated, Kalshi at the end of each day.Prices at the end of each day, New York time. A day without a new price keeps the day before’s. On a day a Kalshi market ends thin (nobody bidding, or more than 10¢ between buy and sell offers), its close is the last traded price.Days before 2 October 2026 come from each platform’s published price history; later days from the prices this site records.Show the numbers
| Day | Kalshi |
|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2026 | 8% |
| 2 Oct 2026 | 20% |
| 25 Sep 2026 | 16% |
| 18 Sep 2026 | 14% |
| 11 Sep 2026 | 23% |
| 4 Sep 2026 | 23% |
| 28 Aug 2026 | 27% |
| 21 Aug 2026 | 21% |
| 14 Aug 2026 | 21% |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 20% |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 22% |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 24% |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 23% |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 23% |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 25% |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 25% |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 26% |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 26% |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 26% |
| 29 May 2026 | 26% |
Podcast buzz
Awards podcast episodes that name this contender
No mentions found in the shows we follow yet.
From what is said on 28 film and awards podcasts (an episode’s title and show notes until it is transcribed), updated daily (last checked 6 Oct). A mention means the film or person is named, whatever the category or context. It is not a prediction or a recommendation.
The 28 podcasts
The Next Best Picture Podcast · Frontrunners and Challengers · The Awards Watch Podcast · Awards Circuit · Prestige Junkie · Little Gold Men · The Big Picture · Screen Talk · The Awardist · Awards Radar: The Podcast · Awards Central Podcast · Oscars Outsider · Awards Chatter · The Envelope · Doc Talk · Kermode & Mayo’s Take · The Film Comment Podcast · Filmspotting · Team Deakins · Art of the Cut · Soundtracking with Edith Bowman · Scriptnotes · Mike, Mike, and Oscar · Lights Camera What’s The Action? · The Rolling Tape · Circuit Gays · Academy Watch · The Town
All 33 contenders for Best Director
Market data, not advice.Prices are what traders paid on Kalshi and Polymarket, shown per platform or as their average; they are not predictions or recommendations.
