Being Heumann
Best Picture contender
To win Best Picture
Number 11 of 54 by average priceKalshi1%Polymarketnot listed
To be nominated for Best Picture
Number 20 of 54 by average priceKalshi18%Polymarketnot listed
Price history
Market-implied chance to win, Kalshi at the end of each day.Prices at the end of each day, New York time. A day without a new price keeps the day before’s. On a day a Kalshi market ends thin (nobody bidding, or more than 10¢ between buy and sell offers), its close is the last traded price.Days before 2 October 2026 come from each platform’s published price history; later days from the prices this site records.Show the numbers
| Day | Kalshi |
|---|---|
| 8 Oct 2026 | 1% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | 1% |
| 24 Sep 2026 | 1% |
| 17 Sep 2026 | 1% |
| 10 Sep 2026 | 1% |
| 3 Sep 2026 | 1% |
| 27 Aug 2026 | 1% |
| 20 Aug 2026 | 1% |
| 13 Aug 2026 | 1% |
| 6 Aug 2026 | 1% |
Also in the running
Podcast buzz
Named in 2 episodes of awards podcasts in the last 30 days
The Rolling Tape · 23 Sep
The Awards Tape: TIFF 2026 Recap & Post-Fall Festival Oscar Predictions(audio) (opens in a new tab)
Mike, Mike, and Oscar · 16 Sep
Emmys, Venice Awards & TIFF Takeaways - ORC 9/16/26 (opens in a new tab)
The Rolling Tape · 9 Sep
The Awards Tape: TIFF Preview 2026(audio) (opens in a new tab)
Mike, Mike, and Oscar · 7 Jul
From what is said on 28 film and awards podcasts (an episode’s title and show notes until it is transcribed), updated daily (last checked 6 Oct). A mention means the film or person is named, whatever the category or context. It is not a prediction or a recommendation.
The 28 podcasts
The Next Best Picture Podcast · Frontrunners and Challengers · The Awards Watch Podcast · Awards Circuit · Prestige Junkie · Little Gold Men · The Big Picture · Screen Talk · The Awardist · Awards Radar: The Podcast · Awards Central Podcast · Oscars Outsider · Awards Chatter · The Envelope · Doc Talk · Kermode & Mayo’s Take · The Film Comment Podcast · Filmspotting · Team Deakins · Art of the Cut · Soundtracking with Edith Bowman · Scriptnotes · Mike, Mike, and Oscar · Lights Camera What’s The Action? · The Rolling Tape · Circuit Gays · Academy Watch · The Town
All 54 contenders for Best Picture
Market data, not advice.Prices are what traders paid on Kalshi and Polymarket, shown per platform or as their average; they are not predictions or recommendations.
